I am seeking an expert opinion on whether it makes financial sense to continue holding or exit a minority stake in a warehouse business. Key details below:
- Business: Warehouse / cold storage (partnership firm) - Ownership: 12.5% minority stake - Project start: Feb 2022 - Private capital invested: ₹1 Cr (borrowed at 18% p.a.) - No private repayment so far due to bank loan priority - Effective private debt today: ~₹1.72 Cr - Expected private debt when repayment starts (~2 years): ~₹2.05+ Cr
Best operating year (FY 2024–25):
- Revenue: ~₹2.05 Cr - Operating surplus before loans: ~₹1.26 Cr - Bank loan repayment: ~₹1.0 Cr/year - Free cash (entire business): ~₹25–27 L/year - Cash to us (12.5%): ~₹3–4 L/year - Expected post–bank-loan cash to us: ~₹15–16 L/year
Additional context
- Major commodity stored: mirchi - Revenue depends heavily on rotation; low prices have capped growth - Land value has appreciated from ~₹1.0 Cr to ~₹1.7 Cr
Questions
1. Does holding make sense long term given 18% private capital and minority ownership? 2. Since this is a partnership firm, can any business loss or depreciation be used to offset personal salary income? 3. Does refinancing the 18% loan make sense? If so, what realistic interest rates are currently achievable (secured / LAP / business loan)? 4. Is an exit valuation of ~₹1.8–2.0 Cr reasonable for a strategic buyer increasing control?
Looking for a candid, numbers-based opinion. Happy to share detailed workings if required.