India's GDP Growth Projected at 7.4% in FY26

Last updated: 10 January 2026


Quick Summary
India's real GDP is forecast to grow by 7.4% in the fiscal year 2026, an increase from the previous year's 6.5%. This growth is primarily driven by strong performances in the services sector, which is expected to expand by 9.1%, and the manufacturing sector, projected to grow by 7%. Despite nominal GDP growth falling slightly short of budget targets, the fiscal deficit is expected to remain stable due to an upward revision in the base GDP.

India's real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to grow by 7.4% in the current fiscal year, driven by robust performance in the services and manufacturing sectors, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on Wednesday. The estimate marks an improv
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India's real gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow by 7.4% in the fiscal year 2026.

The services sector is the primary growth engine, expected to rise by 9.1%, followed by the manufacturing sector, projected to grow by 7%.

The projected 7.4% growth for FY26 is an improvement over the 6.5% growth recorded in the previous fiscal year.

Per capita national income is projected to increase by Rs 16,025, reaching Rs 2,47,487 in FY26.

Heightened global uncertainties, particularly trade barriers imposed by the US, could affect India's exports and capital flows.

A new GDP series with a 2022-23 base year is scheduled for release on February 27.




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Finance news reporter covering taxation, GST, income tax, business compliance, and economy updates. I simplify complex financial topics into easy-to-understand articles for professionals, taxpayers, and business owners on leading finance and tax platforms.

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