Here is an analysis of the future direction of corporation tax (corporate income tax) in India:
1. Current Position (as of FY 2021-22 context): - Domestic companies under Section 115BAA: 22% + 10% surcharge + 4% cess = ~25.17% effective rate - New manufacturing companies under Section 115BAB: 15% + 10% surcharge + 4% cess = ~17.01% - Old regime (without opting 115BAA): 30% base + applicable surcharge
2. Global Context: - The OECD Global Minimum Tax (Pillar Two — 15% global minimum corporate tax for MNEs with turnover > EUR 750 million) came into effect from 2024. India has been part of BEPS negotiations - India's 15% rate for new manufacturers aligns with the global minimum — a strategic choice
3. Future Direction: - The trend since 2019 has been toward rate rationalisation and simplification (moving toward a flat 22-25% regime) - Further rate cuts are unlikely in the near term given fiscal consolidation needs and the global minimum tax framework - The focus is shifting toward: (a) broadening the tax base, (b) reducing exemptions and deductions (sunset of Section 115BAB for new investment after specific dates), (c) better compliance through technology (faceless assessments, AIS, TRACES) - India may introduce a Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax (DMTT) to comply with Pillar Two for large MNEs
4. Key Watch Points: Budget announcements for simplification of corporate tax structure, potential introduction of DMTT, and extension/expiry of concessional rate regimes are key indicators to track.