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FM Nirmala Sitharaman Set to Unveil GST 2.0 Roadmap in Budget, Predict Industry Experts

Last updated: 29 January 2024


With initial hurdles in the Goods and Services Tax (GST) system largely resolved, the Indian government is gearing up for a new wave of reforms in the upcoming interim budget. Experts anticipate Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman to provide a broad outline of second-generation GST reforms, focusing on key areas such as rationalizing tax slabs and potentially incorporating petroleum products under the GST ambit.

Resolution of Teething Issues

After grappling with teething issues, including glitches in online portals, invoice matching challenges, and delays in refunds, the monthly revenue from GST has stabilized, averaging over Rs 1.6 lakh crore. This positive development has emboldened the government to push forward with additional reforms.

Anticipated Second-Generation Reforms

Experts suggest that Finance Minister Sitharaman is likely to present a comprehensive plan for the next phase of GST reforms in the upcoming budget. While actual changes will necessitate the consent of the GST Council, providing a roadmap for the future is expected to be well-received by businesses.

FM Nirmala Sitharaman Set to Unveil GST 2.0 Roadmap in Budget, Predict Industry Experts

Two Key Focus Areas

The second-generation GST reforms are expected to center around two primary areas: rationalization of tax slabs and the inclusion of petroleum products under the GST regime.

  • Tax Slab Rationalization: A group of ministers (GoM) formed in 2021, initially chaired by Basavaraj Bommai and later reconstituted under Uttar Pradesh Finance Minister Suresh Khanna, is tasked with suggesting rationalization of GST slabs and rates. The prevailing four-tier tax slab structure (5%, 12%, 18%, and 28%) may be streamlined to three slabs. The 12% slab could potentially be eliminated, with its items merged into either the 18% or 5% slabs. There is also speculation about adjusting the 5% slab to a higher rate of 8%.
  • Inclusion of Petroleum Products: Bringing petroleum products under the GST ambit remains a contentious issue. While the union government advocates for this inclusion, most states are cautious due to the significant revenue generated from taxes on petroleum products. The possibility of covering aviation turbine fuel (ATF) and natural gas under GST is also being considered, given potential states' receptiveness.

Industry Recommendations

Industry bodies, including the Confederation of Indian Industries (CII), have advocated for a three-rate structure – a low rate for essentials, a standard rate for most goods, and a high rate for luxury and demerit goods. CII has also emphasized the importance of including products like petroleum, electricity, and real estate under the GST regime.

Conclusion

As the Indian government looks set to unveil the interim budget, the prospect of second-generation GST reforms brings both challenges and opportunities. The resolution of initial issues coupled with buoyant tax collections has bolstered confidence, providing the impetus needed to propel these reforms forward. The anticipated changes in tax slabs and the potential inclusion of petroleum products signify a strategic move toward a more streamlined and comprehensive GST system. The upcoming budget announcement is eagerly awaited for further insights into the government's vision for GST in India.

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