Investment - Part III (Basic Terms used)

CS LLB Pulkit Gupta (https://www.facebook.com/pages/Life-and-Promises/553962034682487)   (16631 Points)

07 December 2010  

 

Introduction 

  1. This article will deal with various terms related to Investment. 

  2. There are some basic things which we analyze before investing in any Co. To analyze such things we need complete clarity about them .

  3. I will try to give a brief idea about such terms and necessary formulae (wherever possible ) along with market standard and latest trends. 
  4. This article is totally my creation based on the knowledge acquired by me during my studies.

This is my third article of investment series. For previous 2 articles you can follow the below mentioned links: - 

  1. Investment - Basic Concepts  /forum/investment-part-i-115534.asp
  2. Investment options in India  /forum/investment-part-ii-investment-options--115598.asp

Basic terms related with investments

(A)  Return On Investment ( ROI ):- I have added point 4 and 5 from an investment website to explain this topic more clearly .

return_on_investment_1.jpg

  1. It is basically a performance measure which is used to evaluate  the efficiency of an investment.
  2. ROI analysis compares the magnitude and timing of investment gains directly with the magnitude and timing of investment costs. 
  3. A high ROI means that investment gains compare favorably to investment costs.  
  4. Simple ROI for Cash Flow and Investment Analysis (Source- internet)

    Return on investment is frequently derived as the “return” (incremental gain) from an action divided by the cost of that action. That is “simple ROI,” as used in business case analysis and other forms of cash flow analysis. For example, what is the ROI for a new marketing program that is expected to cost $500,000 over the next five years and deliver an additional $700,000 in increased profits during the same time?

    Simple return on investment ROI

     

 

 

       5. Consider two five-year investments competing for funding, Investment A and Investment B. Which is the better business decision? Analysts will look first at the net cash flow streams from each investment. The net cash flow data and comparison graph appear below.



  Now    Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
 Net Cash Flow A   –100   20   30     40    70   80  140
 Net Cash Flow B   –100    70   60    40    30   20   120

Two aspects of the data are apparent at once: (1) Investment A has the greater overall net cash flow for the five year period, but (2) the timing of cash flows in each case is quite different. The differences in timing are even more apparent in a graphical representation of net cash flow:

cashflowgraph.jpgTo answer the question, "Which is the better business decision for the company?" the analyst will want to examine both investments with several financial metrics, including ROI, NPV, IRR, and Payback period.

In order to calculate ROI, the analyst needs to see both cash inflows and outflows for each period (year) as well as the net cash flow. The tables below show these figures for each investment, including also cumulative cash flow and Simple ROI for the investment at the end of each year.

 Investment A Now Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
 Cash Inflows A        0      40      50       75         95     105    355 
 Cash Outflows A      100       20       20       35      25      25    225
 Net Cash Flow A    –100      20       30      40      70      80    140
 Cumulative CF A    –100    –80    –50    –10     60    140

Simple ROI A    -100.0%    –66.7%   –35.7%  –5.7%   30.0%   62.2%

For Investment B...

 Investment B Now Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
 Cash Inflows B        0      100      90       75        50      40    355 
 Cash Outflows B      100       30       30       35      20      20    235
 Net Cash Flow B    –100      70       60      40      30      20   120
 Cumulative CF B    –100    –30      30      70    100    120

Simple ROI B    -100.0%    –23.1%   18.8%    35.9%   46.5%   51.1%

Simple ROI for each investment, in each period is shown in the bottom row of each table. Applying the cash flow ROI formula above to these data, the ROI for, say, Year 3 of Investment B is given as

roicalculation.jpg

Using simple ROI as the sole decision criterion, which investment is the better business decision? The answer here is:  that depends on the time period in view.

  • Considering the 3-year ROIs from each investment, clearly B's ROI of 35.9% is better than A's ROI of –5.7%.
  • Considering the 5-year ROIs however, investment A clearly has the higher ROI at 62.2%, vs. 51.1% for B's five-year ROI.

The example illustrates two important considerations to keep in mind when using ROI for decision support:

  1. For most business investments there is not a single ROI for the investment, independent of the time period. Because business investments typically bring financial consequences extending several years or more, the investment can have a different ROI every year (or other period). The investment's ROI is not defined, that is, until the time period is stated.
  2. The standard advice usually repeated when ROI is explained (as above) is: this: "Other things being equal, the investment with the higher ROI is the better business decision."  However, important business decisions are rarely made on the basis of one financial metric and with business investments, moreover, the condition "other things being equal" almost never applies. When comparing investments with ROI, it is usually a very good idea to consider other financial metrics as well (as illustrated in the following section).

As a final consideration in calculating ROI, note that some financial specialists prefer to derive ROI from cash flow stream present values. In investment situations, this typically leads to a lower ROI than the ROI from the non discounted cash flow. That is because the larger investment costs usually come early, and the larger gains appear later, so that discounting impacts the future gains more heavily than the future costs. In the "early costs / later gains" situation, using discounted cash flow figures to calculate ROI leads to a more conservative, less optimistic result. There are "pros" and "cons" to both the discounted and non discounted approach to ROI, and the business analyst should be sure to understand which approach is preferred by the organization's financial officers, and why.

 

ROI vs. NPV, IRR, and Payback Period

The different natures of investments A and B are also apparent in a line graph of the cumulative cash flow for each (cumulative cash flow for a period is the sum of all net cash flows through the end of the current period. This is the fourth data row in each table above. Cumulative cash flow and payback are explained more fully in the encyclopedia entry forpayback period). In fact, some people call a cumulative cash flow graph, such as this one, a return on investment curve.

cumuluative cash flow two investments

Which investment, A or B, is the better business decision? In this section, you should see that each investment has points in its favor, compared to the other, and that ultimately decision makers will have to weigh ROI results along with several other metrics, to decide which is best for their organization at the present time. Here are some of the points to consider:

  • ROI: Investment A has the higher 5-year ROI (62.2% for A vs. 51.1% for B). That is a point in A's favor—if the time period in view is 5 years.
  • Future Performance: The cumulative curves above only cover 5 years, but if the investments inflows and outflows are expected to continue beyond 5 years, the curves point to two different futures. By Year 5, A's cumulative cash flow curve is heading skyward, while B's appears to be leveling off. If there is reason to believe these patterns will continue, this is also a point in favor of A.
  • Payback Period. The cumulative cash flow curves above show roughly the point in time when the cumulative cash flow "breaks even," that is, when cumulative incoming reuturns exactly balance cumlative outflows. This point in time (point on the horizontal axis) is Payback period for each investment (see payback period). The payback period for B is 1.5 years, while A's payback period is 3.14 years. Investment B "pays for itself" in half the time of investment A.  The shorter payback period is preferred because it means invested funds are recovered sooner, and available for use again sooner. The shorter payback period is also viewed as less risky than the longer payback. These are points in favor of investment B.
  • Net present value (NPV):  Using a 10% Discount rate, Investment B has a net present value (NPV) of 76.18, while A's NPV is 70.51. With the time value of money rationale, this means that investment B is worth more, today, than investment A, even though A will ultimately (in 5 years) return more funds. This is a point in favor of B.
  • Internal rate of return (IRR): Internal rate of return (IRR) is the interest rate that produces an NPV of 0 for a cash flow stream (see Internal rate of return for a complete overview of what this means and why it can be important). Investment A has an IRR of 28.9% while B's IRR is 44.9%. Roughly speaking, financial officers will view a potential investment with an IRR above their cost of borrowing as a net gain. When investments are competing for funds, of course, the higher IRR is preferred. This is a point in favor of investment B.

Based on the financial metrics reviewed above, which investment, A or B, is the better business decision? Clearly there is no "one size fits all" answer, except to say that ROI is one factor decision makers and planners will consider, but they will consider other factors as well and give different "weights" to the different financial metrics above, based on (a) the company's business objectives, and (b) the current situation.

 

6. The return on investment formula:

Return On Investment (ROI)

(B) Equity : -

  1. It is security or stock or preferred stock representing ownership interest.
  2. It is also known as Net Worth or shareholder's equity .
  3. The term's meaning depends very much on the context. In finance, in general, you can think of equity as ownership in any asset after all debts associated with that asset are paid off. For example, a car or house with no outstanding debt is considered the owner's equity because he or she can readily sell the item for cash. Stocks are equity because they represent ownership in a company.
  4. Equity Risk Premium 

    The excess return that an individual stock or the overall stock market provides over a risk-free rate. This excess return compensates investors for taking on the relatively higher risk of the equity market. The size of the premium will vary as the risk in a particular stock, or in the stock market as a whole, changes; high-risk investments are compensated with a higher premium.
  5.  The risk-free rate in the market is often quoted as the rate on longer-term government bonds, which are considered risk free because of the low chance that the government will default on its loans. On the other hand, an investment in stocks is far less guaranteed, as companies regularly suffer downturns or go out of business.

    If the return on a stock is 15% and the risk-free rate over the same period is 7%, the equity-risk premium would be 8% for this stock over that period of time.

(C) Return on Equity (ROE) :-

  1. It is the amount of net income earned/returned as a percentage of shareholders equity.
  2.  It measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates with the money shareholders have invested.  
  3. Return on Equity = Net Income after preference dividend/Shareholder's Equity . 
  4. To get more exact results you can substract Pref. Shareholders from Shareholders equity.
  5. Investors may also calculate the change in ROE for a period by first using the shareholders' equity figure from the beginning of a period as a denominator to determine the beginning ROE. Then, the end-of-period shareholders' equity can be used as the denominator to determine the ending ROE. Calculating both beginning and ending ROEs allows an investor to determine the change in profitability over the period.

(D) Market Value

  1. Highest estimated price that a buyer would pay and a seller would accept for an item in an open and competitive market.

  2. Market Value of share - The current quoted price at which investors buy or sell a share of common stock or a bond at a given time.

  3. Well i can't comment on valuation of shares as i haven't read it much.



(E) Return on Assets

  1. ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings.
  2. IT is calculated by dividing a company's annual earnings by its total assets
  3. ROA for public companies can vary substantially and will be highly dependent on the industry. This is why when using ROA as a comparative measure, it is best to compare it against a company's previous ROA numbers or the ROA of a similar company. 
  4. The higher the ROA number, the better, because the company is earning more money on less investment.
  5. ROA = Net Income / Total Assets 

(F) EPS

  1. The portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. Earnings per share serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.

  2. There are three types of EPS numbers: 

     

    • Trailing EPS – last year’s numbers and the only actual EPS
    • Current EPS – this year’s numbers, which are still projections
    • Forward EPS – future numbers, which are obviously projections 

    3. EPS Earnings Per Share (EPS)

    4. Earnings per share is generally considered to be the single most important variable in determining a share's price. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio. 

    5.Diluted Earnings Per Share

    A performance metric used to gauge the quality of a company's earnings per share (EPS) if all convertible securities were exercised. Convertible securities refers to all outstanding convertible preferred shares, convertible debentures, stock options (primarily employee based) and warrants. Unless the company has no additional potential shares outstanding (a relatively rare circumstance) the diluted EPS will always be lower than the simple EPS. 

     

     

    (G) Net Operating Income - NOI

    A company's operating income after operating expenses are deducted, but before income taxes and interest are deducted. If this is a positive value, it is referred to as net operating income, while a negative value is called a net operating loss (NOL). 

     

    (H) Net Income After Taxes - NIAT

    It shows what the company earned after all its expenses, charge-offs, depreciation and taxes have been subtracted. This calculation is usually shown as both a total ruppee amount and a per share calculation.

     

    (I) Net Operating Profit After Tax - NOPAT

    A company's potential cash earnings if its capitalization were unleveraged (that is, if it had no debt). NOPAT is frequently used in economic value added (EVA) calculations.



    Calculated as:



    NOPAT = Operating Income x (1 - Tax Rate)

     

    (J) Earnings Yield



    The earnings per share for the most recent 12-month period divided by the current market price per share. The earnings yield (which is the inverse of the P/E ratio) shows the percentage of each dollar invested in the stock that was earned by the company.



    The earnings yield is used by many investment managers to determine optimal asset allocations.

    (K) Price-Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio





    A valuation ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings.



    Calculated as:



    Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)

    A high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared to companies with a lower P/E.

    1. The P/E is sometimes referred to as the "multiple", because it shows how much investors are willing to pay per rupee of earnings. If a company were currently trading at a multiple (P/E) of 20, the interpretation is that an investor is willing to pay20 for 1 of  current earnings.

     

    (L) Retention Ratio

    The percent of earnings credited to retained earnings. In other words, the proportion of net income that is not paid out as dividends.



    Calculated as:



    Retention Ratio

    (M) Dividend Yield 

    A financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share price. In the absence of any capital gains, the dividend yield is the return on investment for a stock. Dividend yield is calculated as follows:



    Dividend Yield

     

    It is a way to measure how much cash flow you are getting for each rupee invested in an equity position - in other words, how much "bang for your buck" you are getting from dividends. Investors who require a minimum stream of cash flow from their investment portfolio can secure this cash flow by investing in stocks paying relatively high, stable dividend yields.

     

    Conclusion 

    Friends i have shared only those concepts which i studied during my PCC syllabus. I hope you will be benefitted by the above information .  

    This article is mainly for my frnds studying in PCC as my seniors already know the information shared by me .

    I w'd request my seniors to pls share other terms which i forgot to share related to investments due to my limited knowledge.

    The fourth and last part of this series will deal with a very general topic " Invest while you are young".

    Regards

    Pulkit Gupta

    pulkit_1988 @ rediffmail.com